1964 November
11
James Callaghan
The Labour party won the election of October 1964 with a wafer thin majority
of four seats after 13 years out of office.
But although Labour was under pressure to make its mark, the economic
situation was precarious. The current account deficit reached £327m
or 1 per cent of GDP in 1964 and financial markets were concerned that
a profligate Labour administration would make things worse.
Mr Callaghans first Budget of November 1964 did nothing to allay
these fears.
The Wilson government had already promised a generous increase in old
age pensions and pledged to abolish health service charges. In order to
pay for this, Mr Callaghan raised the standard rate of income tax from
38.75 to 41.25 per cent. Petrol duty was also increased.
Although the government argued that the measures would be neutral
with pension increases offset by higher taxes the Budget appears
to have boosted consumer demand. Financial markets saw the Budget as a
sign that Labour was not serious about maintaining the current level of
sterling.
The pound was eventually devalued on November 18 1967.
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1971 April 30
Anthony Barber
After six years of opposition, Mr Barber was keen to give the Tory ranks
something to cheer about.
His first Budget satisfied the full gamut of backbench demands and was
greeted with a rapturous standing ovation.
The objective, he said, was to lessen government interference, reduce
government subsidies and break into a new period of faster growth.
The income tax rise of Mr Callaghans first Budget was reversed
taking the basic rate down from 41.25 to 38.75 per cent. Selective employment
tax rates were halved and corporation tax was reduced from 42.5 to 40
per cent.
The 1971 Budget inaugurated a period of aggressive economic reflation,
which culminated in the notorious Barber boom. But by 1973
the budget deficit was being forecast at £4,423m an enormous figure
at the time. Scepticism in financial markets over the chancellors
strategy had also pushed the pound sharply lower, fuelling inflation.
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1979 June 12th
Geoffrey Howe
Geoffrey Howes first Budget came hot on the heels of the Mrs Thatchers
election victory in May.
Although Mrs Thatcher had pledged to reduce income tax, few were prepared
for the radicalism of this Budget. The basic rate of income tax was cut
from 33 to 30 per cent and the highest rate was cut from 83 to 60 per
cent. To compensate, VAT was raised to 15 per cent replacing a
basic rate of 8 per cent and a 12.5 per cent rate for luxury goods. The
chancellor also announced cuts of £4bn in public spending.
The Budget marked the start of a shift from direct to indirect tax, a
policy which hit the poor and gave money to the rich. It was also the
first real indication that Mrs Thatcher would break with the postwar consensus
and with One Nation Conservatism.
The most visible economic consequence was the spike up in inflation to
a peak of 21.9 per cent in 1980 following the rise in VAT.
Inflation had fallen back to around 5 per cent by 1982, however, as Britain
entered its most severe recession since the second world war.
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1988 March 15th
Nigel Lawson
Nigel Lawsons fifth Budget followed the Conservatives crushing
defeat of Labour in the general election of June 11, 1987.
By 1998 many policy makers had become convinced that Britain was enjoying
an economic miracle. Public finances were extremely healthy
and the budget surplus was expected to rise to 3 per of GDP.
This combination gave Mr Lawson the confidence to enact another round
of tax cuts. As well as reducing the basic rate of income tax from 27
to 25 per cent, Mr Lawson abolished all rates of income tax over 40 per
cent. The inheritance tax threshold was raised from £90,000 to £110,000
and a single rate of 40 per cent replaced the existing four rates between
30 and 60 per cent.
Again the measures redistributed money to higher income brackets. As the
extent of the tax cuts became clear, city dealers cheered and Labour MPs
began to chant shame! at the chancellor.
Accusations that the Tories were stealing from the poor to give to the
rich were intensified by Norman Fowlers social security reforms
of April 1998 in which some benefits were cut.
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1993 March 16th
Norman Lamont
By 1993 tax cuts from the 1988 Budget coupled with big increases in public
spending had taken their toll on public finances.
Expectations of a budget
surplus of 3 per cent of GDP had given way to forecasts of a 7 per cent
deficit.
Norman Lamont managed to postpone the inevitable until after
the general election of April 1992. But tax rises were essential to prevent
the deficit spiralling out of control.
The rise in taxation announced
in 1993 was the largest of any postwar Budget as a proportion of national
income.
Employee National Insurance contributions increased by 1 percentage point
to 10 per cent. VAT was extended to fuel at a rate of 8 per cent from
April 1994 and at 17.5 per cent from April 1995. As part of a reform of
corportation tax, the value of the dividend tax credit paid to non tax
payers including pension funds was cut to 20 per cent.
1993 was seen by many as the prototypical stealth Budget. It was not until
later that the true extent of tax rises became apparent. This was partly
because many of the increases were delayed until 1994 and 1995.
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1997 July 3
Gordon Brown
In his first Budget after Labours election victory in May Mr Brown
sought to establish his partys reputation for prudent fiscal management
and avoid the mistakes of the Wilson years. Mr Browns increase in
taxes in this Budget provided a useful buffer for the rest of the parliament.
The headlines were grabbed by the windfall tax on privatised utilities,
which raised a one-off sum of £5bn. Mr Brown also introduced large
increases in fuel duties.
More important, however, was the abolition of dividend tax credit in corporation
tax for pension funds. This raised over £5bn a year, a measure only
partly offset by a cut in corporation tax intended to save businesses
£2bn a year.
At the time pension funds had big surpluses and the
abolition of dividend tax credit looked as though it would be easy to
bear. Now many see the abolition as being partly responsible for the decline
of many defined benefit pension schemes.
Although the Budget helped to erase the memory of previous spendthrift
Labour governments, it also gained Mr Brown a reputation for stealth rather
than transparency.
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