What is FT Fund Ratings
Investors have literally thousands of funds to choose from, more in fact than
there are companies for the funds to invest in.
For a product intended to make life simpler that's a big problem. Investors
don't have many options:
- Delegate the decision to a hunch, or an adviser
- Don a green eye-shade, roll up shirt sleeves and put in a few late nights
going through reams of raw data.
Neither is satisfactory.
Better ways are clearly needed. So far the only real way of filling that demand
has been the league table. Unfortunately it can be seriously misleading.
Finding the right funds to put in the table is tricky. Generally the idea is
to put similar funds together but that is not easy. It is hard to separate Value
funds from Growth ones for example. The results are a bit like running a joint
football and cricket league.
Even if the comparisons were always spot-on, league tables can still cause
trouble. The problem is there is little evidence that future performance will
match past growth.
FT Fund Ratings attempts to do better.
Risk
Our approach has been to apply an advanced but well-tested model that derives
information about the risks of the fund from its price movements with the aid
of something called "Arbitrage Pricing Theory".
This allows us to extract a picture of the risks of the fund that doesn't put
everything on a single scale. Instead risk is measured in 20 ways. Using this
model we can create peer groups of funds based on the risk they have demonstrated
in the past. This analysis underpins the entire rating system.
With 20 pieces of information about the risk of each fund, focussing on just
one would be wasteful. So instead of just ranking funds, we identify groups
of them with similar risk and use their average as a representative figure.
This is called the Risk Profile.
Up to this point it has been a purely mathematical exercise, but it proves
remarkably effective and the groups of funds fall into recognisable types. The
approach is so effective that we are confident that if we were provided with
a record of the price movements of a fund we would be able to identify its type.
As a result, the Risk Profiles can provide useful descriptions of the likely
behaviour of the fund.
We provide additional information to put this into context.
First of all we produce a Match rating on a five-point scale, running from
Very Low to Very High. This shows how closely the Risk Profile matches the fund.
The Risk Profile is of course always the best match.
We also provide two kinds of information about each Risk Profile. The crudest
is the Risk Level, again on a scale of Very Low to Very High, which measures
volatility.
We also break down the Risk Profiles into risks from different industries,
geographical regions or styles of investment, as well as its sensitivity to
various well-known market indicators. The same information can be calculated
for each fund.
Charges
Risk data is useful to assess the suitability of a fund, but it is also
important to consider what the management charges are.
Charges can have a dramatic impact on the final value of a fund.
To that end we add a "charge rating", based on so-called Total Expense
Ratios, supplied to us by a company call Fitrzrovia. This annual charge data
is again scored from Very Low to Very High.
Up-front charges are not considered for several reason:
- They are variable
- Their impact depends upon the life of the investment
- The cost depends on where a fund is bought: a fund bought through an adviser
will generally cost more than through an online fund supermarket.
Performance
The final leg of the ratings system is the performance measurement.
The Risk Profile provides us with a virtual benchmark tailored to each Risk
Profile. Sensitivity to the benchmark is used to perform the risk adjustments
that are the final ingredient of performance rating.
Does this all work?
One test is to consider what we already know about tracker funds.
A great deal of academic research and theoretical argument from the likes of
Nobel Laureate William Sharpe makes strong claims for the benefits of these
funds and they have been very successful in both the institutional and private
investor markets.
However in league tables they never come top and their virtues can be almost
invisible.
In contrast with FT Fund Ratings, FTSE All Share tracker funds appear in the
mainstream UK Whole Market Sector, typically with High Match Ratings, showing
that the funds are known quantities.
On charges they do very well mostly scoring Very Low or Low and on performance
many currently receive a High rating.
It's not quite the whole story but it is still a much fairer reflection of
the known advantages of these funds. At the same time it shows that they are
only one kind of fund and that there is still room for funds of other types.
For more information on FT Fund Ratings, go to http://www.ft.com/fundratings
Or look within the ISA Special Report
|